Women's Champions League | Semi-Finals | 2nd Leg
May 2, 2021 at 11am UK
Estadi Johan Cruyff

Barcelona
2 - 1
PSG

Martens (8', 31'), Katoto (34')
Lawrence (45'), Dudek (61'), Pereira (67'), Panos (78'), Oshoala (85'), Caldentey (90+2'), Putellas (90+4')
FT(HT: 3-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Women's Champions League clash between Barcelona Women and Paris Saint-Germain Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona Women win with a probability of 53.98%. A win for Paris Saint-Germain Women had a probability of 25.51% and a draw had a probability of 20.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.62%) and 2-0 (6.23%). The likeliest Paris Saint-Germain Women win was 1-2 (6.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Barcelona Women in this match.

Result
Barcelona WomenDrawParis Saint-Germain Women
53.98%20.51%25.51%
Both teams to score 68.12%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.45%29.55%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
49.35%50.64%
Barcelona Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.7%11.3%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.06%35.93%
Paris Saint-Germain Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.8%23.2%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.9%57.1%
Score Analysis
    Barcelona Women 53.98%
    Paris Saint-Germain Women 25.51%
    Draw 20.51%
Barcelona WomenDrawParis Saint-Germain Women
2-1 @ 9.1%
3-1 @ 6.62%
2-0 @ 6.23%
1-0 @ 5.72%
3-2 @ 4.83%
3-0 @ 4.53%
4-1 @ 3.61%
4-2 @ 2.64%
4-0 @ 2.47%
5-1 @ 1.57%
4-3 @ 1.28%
5-2 @ 1.15%
5-0 @ 1.08%
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 53.98%
1-1 @ 8.35%
2-2 @ 6.65%
0-0 @ 2.62%
3-3 @ 2.35%
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 20.51%
1-2 @ 6.1%
0-1 @ 3.83%
2-3 @ 3.24%
1-3 @ 2.97%
0-2 @ 2.8%
0-3 @ 1.36%
2-4 @ 1.18%
1-4 @ 1.09%
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 25.51%

How you voted: Barcelona vs PSG

Barcelona Women
66.7%
Paris Saint-Germain Women
33.3%
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