/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fusalog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fbellog.png)
-
Weston McKennie
39'
-
Cristian Roldán
46'
-
Alex Freeman
64'
-
Max Arfsten
64'
-
Sebastian Berhalter
64'
-
Giovanni Reyna
70'
-
Patrick Agyemang
71'
-
Ricardo Pepi
71'
-
71'
-
71'
-
Joe Scally
71'
-
Joe Scally
74'
-
Patrick Agyemang
87'
-
Zeno Debast
45'
-
Amadou Onana
53'
-
Charles De Ketelaere
59'
-
Loïs Openda
61'
-
Joaquin Seys
61'
-
Loïs Openda
62'
-
Koni De Winter
62'
-
Arthur Theate
62'
-
Dodi Lukébakio
62'
-
Nathan Ngoy
62'
-
Joaquin Seys
62'
-
Arthur Theate
63'
-
Loïs Openda
63'
-
Joaquin Seys
63'
-
Nathan Ngoy
63'
-
Dodi Lukébakio
63'
-
Dodi Lukébakio
68'
-
Youri Tielemans
70'
-
Axel Witsel
70'
-
Mika Godts
70'
-
Timothy Castagne
70'
-
Nathan De Cat
70'
-
Mika Godts
71'
-
Axel Witsel
71'
-
Timothy Castagne
72'
-
Nathan De Cat
72'
-
Dodi Lukébakio
82'
USA vs Belgium - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2Fuploads%2F2025%2F10%2Fchristian-pulisic-picture-for-usa-in-september-2025-zuma-press-wire-68ebab5c46ae7021757354.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgium win with a probability of 43.5%. A win for USA had a probability of 31.35% and a draw had a probability of 25.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Belgium win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.59%) and 0-2 (6.62%). The likeliest USA win was 2-1 (7.34%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%).
Result
USA
31.35%
▼
(-0.08)
Draw
25.15%
Belgium
43.5%
▲
(+0.04)
Both Teams to Score:
56.97%
▲
(+0.04)
Goals
Over 1.5
78.31%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 1.5
21.69%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 2.5
55.73%
Under 2.5
44.23%
▼
(-0.05)
Over 3.5
33.8%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 3.5
66.2%
▼
(-0.04)
Over 4.5
19.7%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 4.5
80.3%
▼
(-0.02)
First Half Winner
USA
29.15%
Draw
39.64%
Belgium
31.21%
Team To Score First
USA
43.69%
▲
(+0.01)
No Goal
5.89%
▼
(-0.02)
Belgium
50.42%
Corners
Over 8
55.1%
Equal 8
10.41%
Under 8
34.49%
Over 9
44.66%
Equal 9
10.44%
Under 9
44.9%
Over 10.5
34.96%
Under 10.5
65.04%
USA Goals
Over 1.5
35.27%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 1.5
64.73%
▲
(+0.05)
Over 2.5
14.03%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 2.5
85.97%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 3.5
4.66%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 3.5
95.34%
▲
(+0.02)
Belgium Goals
Over 0.5
75.93%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 0.5
24.07%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 1.5
45.34%
▲
(+0.06)
Under 1.5
54.66%
▼
(-0.06)
Over 2.5
21.16%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 2.5
78.84%
▼
(-0.04)
Over 3.5
8.13%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 3.5
91.87%
▼
(-0.02)
Score analysis
USA
31.34%
Draw
25.15%
Belgium
43.51%
USA
2-1
@
7.34%
▼
(-0.03)
1-0 @ 7.21% ▼ (-0.03)
2-0 @ 4.59% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.3% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.52%
3-0 @ 2.06% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 4.32% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 31.34%
1-0 @ 7.21% ▼ (-0.03)
2-0 @ 4.59% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.3% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.52%
3-0 @ 2.06% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 4.32% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 31.34%
Draw
1-1
@
11.36%
2-2 @ 6.07% ▲ (+0.02)
0-0 @ 5.89% ▼ (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.49%
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 25.15%
2-2 @ 6.07% ▲ (+0.02)
0-0 @ 5.89% ▼ (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.49%
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 25.15%
Belgium
1-2
@
8.97%
0-1 @ 8.59%
0-2 @ 6.62%
1-3 @ 4.73% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 3.57%
2-3 @ 3.24% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 7.79% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 43.51%
0-1 @ 8.59%
0-2 @ 6.62%
1-3 @ 4.73% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 3.57%
2-3 @ 3.24% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 7.79% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 43.51%