Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlotte Independence win with a probability of 44.56%. A win for Charleston Battery had a probability of 30.62% and a draw had a probability of 24.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charlotte Independence win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.54%) and 2-0 (6.68%). The likeliest Charleston Battery win was 1-2 (7.14%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.