Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo City Torque win with a probability of 62.78%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Villa Espanola had a probability of 15.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo City Torque win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.78%) and 1-2 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.24%), while for a Villa Espanola win it was 1-0 (5.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montevideo City Torque would win this match.
