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Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 1
May 15, 2021 at 7pm UK
Parque Abraham Paladino
Villa Espanola
0 - 0
Progreso

Michael Ghan Carranza (17'), Cesar Olivera Lima (33'), Ariel Digiano (49'), Andres Tizon Correa (67'), D. Rio N. (82')
FT

Barboza (28'), Andrada (79'), Rojo (90')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Villa Espanola and Progreso.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Progreso win with a probability of 37.34%. A win for Villa Espanola had a probability of 35.42% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Progreso win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.08%) and 0-2 (6.67%). The likeliest Villa Espanola win was 1-0 (10.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.

Result
Villa EspanolaDrawProgreso
35.42%27.24%37.34%
Both teams to score 50.11%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.64%55.36%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.43%76.57%
Villa Espanola Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.21%29.79%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.13%65.87%
Progreso Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.38%28.62%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.57%64.43%
Score Analysis
    Villa Espanola 35.41%
    Progreso 37.33%
    Draw 27.24%
Villa EspanolaDrawProgreso
1-0 @ 10.32%
2-1 @ 7.82%
2-0 @ 6.25%
3-1 @ 3.16%
3-0 @ 2.52%
3-2 @ 1.98%
4-1 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 35.41%
1-1 @ 12.91%
0-0 @ 8.53%
2-2 @ 4.89%
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 27.24%
0-1 @ 10.66%
1-2 @ 8.08%
0-2 @ 6.67%
1-3 @ 3.37%
0-3 @ 2.78%
2-3 @ 2.04%
1-4 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 37.33%

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