Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Progreso win with a probability of 37.34%. A win for Villa Espanola had a probability of 35.42% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Progreso win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.08%) and 0-2 (6.67%). The likeliest Villa Espanola win was 1-0 (10.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.