Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plaza Colonia win with a probability of 43.48%. A draw had a probability of 29.4% and a win for Sud America had a probability of 27.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plaza Colonia win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.97%) and 1-2 (7.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.18%), while for a Sud America win it was 1-0 (10.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.