Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Progreso and Rentistas.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rentistas win with a probability of 38.35%. A win for Progreso had a probability of 34.46% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rentistas win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.21%) and 0-2 (6.89%). The likeliest Progreso win was 1-0 (10.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Progreso | Draw | Rentistas |
| 34.46% | 27.19% | 38.35% |
| Both teams to score 50.18% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.77% | 55.24% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.54% | 76.47% |
| Progreso Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.67% | 30.34% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.48% | 66.52% |
| Rentistas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.03% | 27.97% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.39% | 63.61% |
| Score Analysis |
Progreso 34.46%
Rentistas 38.35%
Draw 27.19%
| Progreso | Draw | Rentistas |
| 1-0 @ 10.12% 2-1 @ 7.69% 2-0 @ 6.04% 3-1 @ 3.06% 3-0 @ 2.4% 3-2 @ 1.95% 4-1 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.3% Total : 34.46% | 1-1 @ 12.89% 0-0 @ 8.49% 2-2 @ 4.9% Other @ 0.91% Total : 27.19% | 0-1 @ 10.81% 1-2 @ 8.21% 0-2 @ 6.89% 1-3 @ 3.49% 0-3 @ 2.92% 2-3 @ 2.08% 1-4 @ 1.11% 0-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.9% Total : 38.35% |


