Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inhulets win with a probability of 53.32%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Vorskla Poltava had a probability of 21.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inhulets win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.07%) and 1-2 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.73%), while for a Vorskla Poltava win it was 1-0 (7.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.