European Under-21s Championship
Sep 8, 2020 5.30pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Pontus Almqvist 12' goal
  • Jesper Karlsson 29' goal
  • Gustav Henriksson 32' yellowcard
  • August Erlingmark 45' yellowcard
  • Gustav Henriksson 51' goal
  • Pontus Dahlberg 58' yellowcard
  • Benjamin Nygren 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Andrea Pinamonti 62'
  • yellowcard Niccolo Zanellato 82'

Sweden Under-21s vs Italy Under-21s - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Sweden Under-21s

All competitions
European Under-21s Championship
Last game
Sep 4, 2020 5.30pm
Iceland U21s 1 - 0 Sweden U21s

Italy Under-21s

All competitions
European Under-21s Championship
Last game
Nov 19, 2019 8.00pm
Italy U21s 6 - 0 Armenia U21s

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy Under-21s win with a probability of 47.59%. A win for Sweden Under-21s had a probability of 28.03% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Italy Under-21s win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.43%) and 0-2 (7.83%). The likeliest Sweden Under-21s win was 1-0 (7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.

Result

Sweden Under-21s 28.03%
Draw 24.38%
Italy Under-21s 47.59%

Both Teams to Score: 

56.44%

Goals

Over 2.5 54.13%
Under 2.5 45.87%
Over 3.5 31.82%
Under 3.5 68.18%

Sweden Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5 70%
Under 0.5 30%
Over 1.5 33.88%
Under 1.5 66.12%

Italy Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5 80.63%
Under 0.5 19.37%
Over 1.5 48.83%
Under 1.5 51.16%

Score analysis

Sweden Under-21s 28.03%
Draw 24.38%
Italy Under-21s 47.59%
Sweden Under-21s
1-0 @ 7%
2-1 @ 6.91%
2-0 @ 4.21%
3-1 @ 2.77%
3-2 @ 2.28%
3-0 @ 1.69%
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 28.03%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.48%
0-0 @ 5.81%
2-2 @ 5.67%
3-3 @ 1.25%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.38%
Italy Under-21s
0-1 @ 9.54%
1-2 @ 9.43%
0-2 @ 7.83%
1-3 @ 5.16%
0-3 @ 4.28%
2-3 @ 3.11%
1-4 @ 2.12%
0-4 @ 1.76%
2-4 @ 1.27%
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 47.59%

Head to Head

European Under-21s Championship
Jun 18, 2015 5.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Andruv Stadion, Olomouc
  • Domenico Berardi 29' goal
  • Federico Viviani 43' yellowcard
  • Matteo Bianchetti 48' yellowcard
  • Stefano Sturaro 80' redcard
  • Francesco Bardi 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Filip Helander 24'
  • redcard Alexander Milosevic 28'
  • goal John Guidetti 56'
  • yellowcard John Guidetti 64'
  • yellowcard Oscar Hiljemark 71'
  • goal Isaac Kiese Thelin 86'