European Under-21s Championship | Qualifying Round
Oct 8, 2020 at 4.30pm UK
 

Lithuania U21s
2 - 0
Greece U21s

Cyzas (17'), Megelaitis (66')
Antanavicius (5'), Stockunas (27'), Utkus (45'), Megelaitis (45+2'), Jankauskas (87')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Tsiggaras (45+1'), Bouzoukis (45+2'), Katranis (52')
Coverage of the European Under-21s Championship Qualifying Round clash between Lithuania Under-21s and Greece Under-21s.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greece Under-21s win with a probability of 82.11%. A draw had a probability of 12.7% and a win for Lithuania Under-21s had a probability of 5.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Greece Under-21s win was 0-2 with a probability of 15.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (13.09%) and 0-1 (11.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.93%), while for a Lithuania Under-21s win it was 1-0 (2.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.

Result
Lithuania Under-21sDrawGreece Under-21s
5.19%12.7%82.11%
Both teams to score 36.8%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.85%40.14%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.48%62.52%
Lithuania Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
39.78%60.22%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
9.24%90.76%
Greece Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.51%7.49%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
73.1%26.9%
Score Analysis
    Lithuania Under-21s 5.19%
    Greece Under-21s 82.1%
    Draw 12.7%
Lithuania Under-21sDrawGreece Under-21s
1-0 @ 2.29%
2-1 @ 1.5%
Other @ 1.4%
Total : 5.19%
1-1 @ 5.93%
0-0 @ 4.51%
2-2 @ 1.95%
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 12.7%
0-2 @ 15.15%
0-3 @ 13.09%
0-1 @ 11.68%
0-4 @ 8.48%
1-2 @ 7.68%
1-3 @ 6.64%
0-5 @ 4.4%
1-4 @ 4.3%
1-5 @ 2.23%
0-6 @ 1.9%
2-3 @ 1.68%
2-4 @ 1.09%
1-6 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 82.1%