Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Georgia Under-21s win with a probability of 40.45%. A win for Belgium Under-21s had a probability of 34.51% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Georgia Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.71%) and 2-0 (6.46%). The likeliest Belgium Under-21s win was 1-2 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.