Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ecuador Under-20s win with a probability of 57.91%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for South Korea Under-20s had a probability of 19.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ecuador Under-20s win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.93%) and 2-0 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.5%), while for a South Korea Under-20s win it was 0-1 (5.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that South Korea Under-20s would win this match.