Under-20s World Cup | Round of 16

Jun 1, 2023 at 10pm UK

Estadio Único Madre de Ciudades

Ecuador U20s
2 - 3
South Korea U20s

FT(HT: 1-2)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Under-20 World Cup clash between Ecuador Under-20s and South Korea Under-20s, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ecuador Under-20s

Last Game: Ecuador U20s 9-0 Fiji U20s
Friday, May 26 at 7pm in Under-20 World Cup

South Korea Under-20s

Last Game: South Korea U20s 0-0 Gambia U20s
Sunday, May 28 at 10pm in Under-20 World Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ecuador Under-20s win with a probability of 57.91%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for South Korea Under-20s had a probability of 19.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ecuador Under-20s win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.93%) and 2-0 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.5%), while for a South Korea Under-20s win it was 0-1 (5.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that South Korea Under-20s would win this match.

Result
Ecuador Under-20s	Draw	South Korea Under-20s
57.91% ( -1.74)	22.23% ( -0.12)	19.86% ( 1.86)

Both teams to score 54% (

3.65)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.41% (

3.23)

44.59% (

-3.23)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.04% (

3.05)

66.95% (

-3.05)

Ecuador Under-20s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.88% (

0.53)

15.11% (

-0.53)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.32% (

0.99)

43.67% (

-0.99)

South Korea Under-20s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.61% (

3.93)

36.39% (

-3.93)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.82% (

3.77)

73.17% (

-3.77)

Score Analysis

Ecuador Under-20s 57.91%

South Korea Under-20s 19.86%

Draw 22.22%

Ecuador Under-20s	Draw	South Korea Under-20s
1-0 @ 10.39% ( -1.31) 2-1 @ 9.93% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 9.82% ( -1.03) 3-1 @ 6.25% ( 0.16) 3-0 @ 6.18% ( -0.53) 3-2 @ 3.16% ( 0.39) 4-1 @ 2.95% ( 0.13) 4-0 @ 2.92% ( -0.19) 4-2 @ 1.49% ( 0.21) 5-1 @ 1.12% ( 0.07) 5-0 @ 1.1% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.59% Total : 57.91%	1-1 @ 10.5% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 5.5% ( -0.81) 2-2 @ 5.02% ( 0.54) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.23) Other @ 0.14% Total : 22.22%	0-1 @ 5.56% ( -0.17) 1-2 @ 5.31% ( 0.48) 0-2 @ 2.81% ( 0.21) 1-3 @ 1.79% ( 0.33) 2-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.34) 0-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.16) Other @ 1.75% Total : 19.86%