European Under-19s Championship | Group Stage
Jul 7, 2023 at 5pm UK
Gozo Stadium

Greece U19s
0 - 5
Spain U19s

FT(HT: 0-4)
Barbera (11', 45+1'), Angel (14'), Palacios (17'), Casas (57')
Coverage of the European Under-19s Championship Group Stage clash between Greece Under-19s and Spain Under-19s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Greece Under-19s

All competitions
Last Game: Norway U19s 5-4 Greece U19s
Tuesday, July 4 at 5pm in European Under-19s Championship

Spain Under-19s

All competitions
Last Game: Iceland U19s 1-2 Spain U19s
Tuesday, July 4 at 8.15pm in European Under-19s Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain Under-19s win with a probability of 79.25%. A draw had a probability of 15.2% and a win for Greece Under-19s had a probability of 5.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spain Under-19s win was 0-2 with a probability of 17.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (15.32%) and 0-3 (13.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (6.78%), while for a Greece Under-19s win it was 1-0 (2.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spain Under-19s would win this match.

Result
Greece Under-19sDrawSpain Under-19s
5.58% (0.099 0.1)15.17% (0.039999999999999 0.04)79.25% (-0.139 -0.14)
Both teams to score 31.35% (0.437 0.44)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.43% (0.24 0.24)49.57% (-0.24 -0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.41% (0.216 0.22)71.6% (-0.21599999999999 -0.22)
Greece Under-19s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
35% (0.478 0.48)65% (-0.47799999999999 -0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
7% (0.207 0.21)93% (-0.20699999999999 -0.21)
Spain Under-19s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.57% (0.025999999999996 0.03)10.43% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66% (0.058999999999997 0.06)34% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Greece Under-19s 5.58%
    Spain Under-19s 79.25%
    Draw 15.17%
Greece Under-19sDrawSpain Under-19s
1-0 @ 2.92% (0.021 0.02)
2-1 @ 1.42% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 1.24%
Total : 5.58%
0-0 @ 6.78% (-0.066000000000001 -0.07)
1-1 @ 6.6% (0.055 0.05)
2-2 @ 1.61% (0.042 0.04)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 15.17%
0-2 @ 17.32% (-0.13 -0.13)
0-1 @ 15.32% (-0.13 -0.13)
0-3 @ 13.05% (-0.08 -0.08)
1-2 @ 7.46% (0.071 0.07)
0-4 @ 7.38% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
1-3 @ 5.62% (0.059 0.06)
0-5 @ 3.34% (-0.015 -0.02)
1-4 @ 3.18% (0.037 0.04)
1-5 @ 1.44% (0.018 0.02)
0-6 @ 1.26% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 1.21% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 79.25%