Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain Under-19s win with a probability of 48.52%. A win for Iceland Under-19s had a probability of 26.53% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spain Under-19s win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.43%) and 0-2 (8.5%). The likeliest Iceland Under-19s win was 1-0 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spain Under-19s would win this match.