European Under-19s Championship | Group Stage
Jul 4, 2023 at 8.15pm UK
MFA Centenary Stadium

Iceland U19s
1 - 2
Spain U19s

Thorsteinsson (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Gasiorowski (16'), Barbera (47')
Coverage of the European Under-19s Championship Group Stage clash between Iceland Under-19s and Spain Under-19s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Iceland Under-19s

Last Game: Iceland U19s 1-1 Sweden U19s
Friday, October 11 at 4.30pm in International Friendlies

Spain Under-19s

Last Game: Spain U19s 0-1 Japan U19s
Friday, September 6 at 10am in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain Under-19s win with a probability of 48.52%. A win for Iceland Under-19s had a probability of 26.53% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spain Under-19s win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.43%) and 0-2 (8.5%). The likeliest Iceland Under-19s win was 1-0 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spain Under-19s would win this match.

Result
Iceland Under-19sDrawSpain Under-19s
26.53% (-0.035999999999998 -0.04)24.94%48.52% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Both teams to score 53.4% (-0.026999999999994 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.69% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)49.3% (0.020000000000003 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.64% (-0.02 -0.02)71.35% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Iceland Under-19s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.05% (-0.039999999999992 -0.04)32.95% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.47% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)69.53% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Spain Under-19s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.65% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)20.35% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.25% (0.009999999999998 0.01)52.75% (-0.012 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Iceland Under-19s 26.53%
    Spain Under-19s 48.51%
    Draw 24.94%
Iceland Under-19sDrawSpain Under-19s
1-0 @ 7.44% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-1 @ 6.58% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
2-0 @ 4.13% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 2.44% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 1.94% (-0.004 -0)
3-0 @ 1.53% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 26.53%
1-1 @ 11.85%
0-0 @ 6.7% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-2 @ 5.24% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-3 @ 1.03% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.94%
0-1 @ 10.67% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 9.43% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 8.5% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-3 @ 5.01% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 4.51% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.78% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-4 @ 1.99% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 1.8% (0.0029999999999999 0)
2-4 @ 1.11% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 48.51%