Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Turkey win with a probability of 69.5%. A draw had a probability of 19.37% and a win for North Macedonia had a probability of 11.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Turkey win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.71%) and 2-1 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.88%) , while for a North Macedonia win it was 0-1 (4.29%).