Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations | Group Stage

Dec 23, 2025 at 8pm UK

Tunisia
3 - 1
Uganda

Skhiri (10'), Achouri (40', 64')
Saad (50')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Omedi (90+2')
Kayondo (14'), (71'), Alhassan (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Africa Cup of Nations clash between Tunisia and Uganda, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Tunisia

All competitions

This competition

Last Game: Tunisia 3-1 Uganda
Tuesday, December 23 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations

Next Game: Nigeria vs. Tunisia
Saturday, December 27 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Mali	3	2	5
2	South Africa	3	2	4
3	Namibia	3	-3	4
4	Tunisia	3	-1	2

Uganda

All competitions

This competition

Last Game: Tunisia 3-1 Uganda
Tuesday, December 23 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations

Next Game: Uganda vs. Tanzania
Saturday, December 27 at 5.30pm in Africa Cup of Nations

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Egypt	3	5	9
2	Uganda	3	0	4
3	Congo DR	3	0	3
4	Zimbabwe	3	-5	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tunisia win with a probability of 56.06%. A draw had a probability of 25.34% and a win for Uganda had a probability of 18.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tunisia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.73%) and 2-1 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.69%) , while for a Uganda win it was 0-1 (7.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result
Tunisia	Draw	Uganda
56.06% ( 0.11)	25.34% ( -0.21)	18.6% ( 0.11)

Both teams to score 42.91% (

0.69)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.69% (

0.82)

58.31% (

-0.82)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.07% (

0.64)

78.93% (

-0.64)

Tunisia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.15% (

0.38)

20.85% (

-0.37)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.46% (

0.58)

53.54% (

-0.58)

Uganda Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.21% (

0.62)

45.79% (

-0.61)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.44% (

0.48)

81.56% (

-0.47)

Score Analysis

Tunisia 56.05%

Uganda 18.6%

Draw 25.34%

Tunisia	Draw	Uganda
1-0 @ 14.96% ( -0.3) 2-0 @ 11.73% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 9.17% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 6.13% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.79% ( 0.1) 4-0 @ 2.4% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.88% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 1.87% ( 0.07) Other @ 3.12% Total : 56.05%	1-1 @ 11.69% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 9.55% ( -0.3) 2-2 @ 3.58% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.53% Total : 25.34%	0-1 @ 7.46% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 4.57% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 2.91% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.19% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.54% Total : 18.6%