Vila Real
2 - 0
Atletico Arcos

Paulo Oliveira Neto (45+3'), Miguel Maio Gomes (89')
Augusto Martins de Carvalho (87')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Bobo Mendes (75'), Ricardo Reis Gomes (79')

Coverage of the Taca de Portugal Third Round clash between Vila Real and Atletico Arcos.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vila Real win with a probability of 55.68%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Atletico Arcos had a probability of 18.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vila Real win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.04%) and 2-1 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.77%), while for an Atletico Arcos win it was 0-1 (7.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vila Real would win this match.

Result
Vila Real	Draw	Atletico Arcos
55.68% ( 0.06)	26.07% ( -0.03)	18.24% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 40.58% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.91% (

0.06)

61.09% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.94% (

0.05)

81.06% (

-0.05)

Vila Real Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.85% (

0.05)

22.14% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.47% (

0.07)

55.53% (

-0.08)

Atletico Arcos Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.12% (

-0)

47.87% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.86% (

83.14% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Vila Real 55.68%

Atletico Arcos 18.24%

Draw 26.07%

Vila Real	Draw	Atletico Arcos
1-0 @ 15.98% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 12.04% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.87% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 6.06% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.46% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.28% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.68% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.64% ( 0) Other @ 2.66% Total : 55.68%	1-1 @ 11.77% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 10.6% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 3.27% ( 0) Other @ 0.43% Total : 26.07%	0-1 @ 7.81% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 4.34% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.88% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.15% Total : 18.24%