Taca de Portugal
Aug 29, 2026 5.00pm
Estádio Papa Francisco

Fatima vs Benfica Castelo Branco - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Fatima

Benfica Castelo Branco

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Fatima win with a probability of 40.72%. A draw has a probability of 29.71% and a win for Benfica Castelo Branco has a probability of 29.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fatima win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (7.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (13.64%) , while for a Benfica Castelo Branco win it is 0-1 (9.85%).

Result

Fatima 40.72% (+0.15)
Draw 29.71% (-0.06)
Benfica Castelo Branco 29.56% (-0.12)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.5% (+0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 67.43% (+0.17)
Under 1.5 32.57% (-0.16)
Over 2.5 41.42% (+0.22)
Under 2.5 58.58% (-0.22)
Over 3.5 20.98% (+0.18)
Under 3.5 79.02% (-0.18)
Over 4.5 10.98% (+0.10)
Under 4.5 89.02% (-0.11)

First Half Winner

Fatima 29.14% (+0.04)
Draw 46.39% (-0.19)
Benfica Castelo Branco 24.48% (+0.18)

Team To Score First

Fatima 49.58% (-0.10)
No Goal 10.7% (-0.08)
Benfica Castelo Branco 39.72% (+0.16)

Corners

Over 8 52.35% (+0.58)
Equal 8 11.55% (-0.04)
Under 8 36.1% (-0.54)
Over 9 41.08% (+0.55)
Equal 9 11.27% (+0.01)
Under 9 47.65% (-0.58)
Over 10.5 30.95% (+0.50)
Under 10.5 69.05% (-0.50)

Fatima Goals

Over 1.5 35.75% (+0.26)
Under 1.5 64.25% (-0.27)
Over 2.5 13.63% (+0.17)
Under 2.5 86.37% (-0.18)
Over 3.5 4.38% (+0.09)
Under 3.5 95.62% (-0.08)

Benfica Castelo Branco Goals

Over 0.5 62.09% (-0.05)
Under 0.5 37.91% (+0.05)
Over 1.5 26.94% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 73.06% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 8.98% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 91.02% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 2.49%
Under 3.5 97.51%

Score analysis

Fatima 40.72%
Draw 29.71%
Benfica Castelo Branco 29.56%
Fatima
1-0 @ 12.01% (-0.05)
2-1 @ 8.36% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 7.56% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 3.38% (+0.05)
3-1 @ 3.3% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 1.86%
Other @ 4.25% (+0.08)
Total : 40.72%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.64% (-0.06)
0-0 @ 10.7% (-0.08)
2-2 @ 4.53% (+0.05)
Other @ 0.13% (+0.02)
Total : 29.71%
Benfica Castelo Branco
0-1 @ 9.85% (-0.08)
1-2 @ 6.75%
0-2 @ 4.82% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 2.16%
0-3 @ 1.95% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.67%
Other @ 2.36% (-0.02)
Total : 29.56%