Taca de Portugal
Aug 30, 2026 5.00pm
Estádio Trigueiros do Aragão

Alcains vs Sertanense - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Alcains

All competitions

Sertanense

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Sertanense win with a probability of 50.19%. A draw has a probability of 27.35% and a win for Alcains has a probability of 22.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sertanense win is 0-1 with a probability of 15.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (10.44%) and 1-2 (7.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.16%) , while for a Alcains win it is 1-0 (9.24%).

Result

Alcains 22.46% (-0.17)
Draw 27.35% (+0.15)
Sertanense 50.19% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

41.1% (-0.25)

Goals

Over 1.5 63.53% (-0.34)
Under 1.5 36.47% (+0.34)
Over 2.5 37.06% (-0.48)
Under 2.5 62.94% (+0.48)
Over 3.5 18.71% (-0.28)
Under 3.5 81.29% (+0.29)
Over 4.5 10.41% (-0.19)
Under 4.5 89.59% (+0.19)

First Half Winner

Alcains 19.9% (-0.04)
Draw 46.54% (-0.04)
Sertanense 33.56% (+0.08)

Team To Score First

Alcains 35.32% (-0.11)
No Goal 11.66% (+0.16)
Sertanense 53.02% (-0.04)

Corners

Over 8 58.13% (+0.18)
Equal 8 11.56% (-0.01)
Under 8 30.3% (-0.17)
Over 9 46.32% (+0.17)
Equal 9 11.81% (+0.01)
Under 9 41.87% (-0.18)
Over 10.5 35.27% (+0.15)
Under 10.5 64.73% (-0.15)

Alcains Goals

Over 1.5 18.89% (-0.29)
Under 1.5 81.11% (+0.30)
Over 2.5 4.79% (-0.17)
Under 2.5 95.21% (+0.17)
Over 3.5 1.35% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 98.65% (+0.05)

Sertanense Goals

Over 0.5 73% (-0.11)
Under 0.5 27% (+0.11)
Over 1.5 38.98% (-0.20)
Under 1.5 61.02% (+0.20)
Over 2.5 16.55% (-0.15)
Under 2.5 83.45% (+0.16)
Over 3.5 5.82% (-0.09)
Under 3.5 94.18% (+0.09)

Score analysis

Alcains 22.47%
Draw 27.37%
Sertanense 50.19%
Alcains
1-0 @ 9.24% (+0.08)
2-1 @ 4.91% (-0.08)
2-0 @ 3.84%
3-1 @ 1.35% (-0.03)
Other @ 1.34% (-0.04)
Total : 22.47%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.16% (+0.05)
0-0 @ 11.66% (+0.16)
2-2 @ 3.24% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 27.37%
Sertanense
0-1 @ 15.6% (+0.14)
0-2 @ 10.44% (+0.09)
1-2 @ 7.91% (-0.05)
0-3 @ 4.59% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 3.73% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.11% (-0.03)
Other @ 5.81% (-0.09)
Total : 50.19%