Vaduz

0 - 3

Lugano

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lugano win with a probability of 46.21%. A win for Vaduz had a probability of 28.28% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lugano win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.22%) and 0-2 (8.15%). The likeliest Vaduz win was 1-0 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lugano would win this match.