Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Zurich win with a probability of 57.14%. A win for FC Winterthur had a probability of 21.9% and a draw had a probability of 21%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Zurich win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.98%) and 1-0 (7.67%). The likeliest FC Winterthur win was 1-2 (5.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.36%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Zurich would win this match.