Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Podbrezova win with a probability of 38.7%. A win for Zlate Moravce had a probability of 38.2% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Podbrezova win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.19%) and 0-2 (5.09%). The likeliest Zlate Moravce win was 2-1 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Podbrezova would win this match.