Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Podbrezova win with a probability of 44.55%. A win for MFK Ruzomberok had a probability of 30.85% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Podbrezova win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest MFK Ruzomberok win was 1-2 (7.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Podbrezova would win this match.