Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slovan Bratislava win with a probability of 47.8%. A win for Spartak Trnava had a probability of 28.19% and a draw had a probability of 24.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Slovan Bratislava win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.97%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Spartak Trnava win was 1-2 (6.98%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.