Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartak Trnava win with a probability of 48.84%. A win for Zemplin Michalovce had a probability of 28.46% and a draw had a probability of 22.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spartak Trnava win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.69%) and 0-2 (6.83%). The likeliest Zemplin Michalovce win was 2-1 (6.71%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.