Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartak Trnava win with a probability of 36.61%. A win for MFK Ruzomberok had a probability of 35.99% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spartak Trnava win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.95%) and 0-2 (6.56%). The likeliest MFK Ruzomberok win was 1-0 (10.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.