Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartak Trnava win with a probability of 50.02%. A win for Zilina had a probability of 26.01% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spartak Trnava win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 2-0 (8.28%). The likeliest Zilina win was 0-1 (6.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Spartak Trnava in this match.