Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 42.44%. A win for Vicenza had a probability of 29.94% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (8.07%). The likeliest Vicenza win was 1-0 (9.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monza would win this match.
