Serie B Gameweek 6
Sep 26, 2021 7.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Fabrizio Paghera 14' yellowcard
  • Bruno Martella 26' goal
  • Frederik Sorensen 57' yellowcard
  • Ilias Koutsoupias 79' yellowcard
  • Antony Iannarilli 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Raffaele Celia 30'

Ternana vs SPAL - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Ternana

All competitions
Last game
Sep 22, 2021 5.00pm
Ternana 3 - 1 Parma
Goals scored
58
Top scorer
Alfredo Donnarumma

SPAL

All competitions
Last game
Sep 21, 2021 7.30pm
SPAL 3 - 2 Vicenza
Goals scored
46
Top scorer
Lorenzo Colombo

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ternana win with a probability of 43.09%. A win for SPAL had a probability of 30.4% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ternana win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.82%) and 2-0 (7.79%). The likeliest SPAL win was 0-1 (9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Ternana in this match.

Result

Ternana 43.09%
Draw 26.51%
SPAL 30.4%

Both Teams to Score: 

51.06%

Goals

Over 2.5 46.45%
Under 2.5 53.56%
Over 3.5 24.94%
Under 3.5 75.07%

Ternana Goals

Over 0.5 75.35%
Under 0.5 24.65%
Over 1.5 40.84%
Under 1.5 59.17%

SPAL Goals

Over 0.5 67.76%
Under 0.5 32.24%
Over 1.5 31.27%
Under 1.5 68.74%

Score analysis

Ternana 43.09%
Draw 26.5%
SPAL 30.4%
Ternana
1-0 @ 11.13%
2-1 @ 8.82%
2-0 @ 7.79%
3-1 @ 4.12%
3-0 @ 3.64%
3-2 @ 2.33%
4-1 @ 1.44%
4-0 @ 1.27%
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 43.09%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.59%
0-0 @ 7.95%
2-2 @ 4.99%
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 26.5%
SPAL
0-1 @ 9%
1-2 @ 7.13%
0-2 @ 5.09%
1-3 @ 2.69%
0-3 @ 1.92%
2-3 @ 1.88%
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 30.4%