Coverage of the Serie B clash between Cittadella and Crotone.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cittadella win with a probability of 38.64%. A win for Crotone had a probability of 35% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cittadella win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.4%) and 2-0 (6.65%). The likeliest Crotone win was 0-1 (9.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cittadella | Draw | Crotone |
| 38.64% | 26.35% | 35% |
| Both teams to score 52.94% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.23% | 51.77% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.46% | 73.54% |
| Cittadella Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.82% | 26.18% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.74% | 61.26% |
| Crotone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.71% | 28.29% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.99% | 64.01% |
| Score Analysis |
Cittadella 38.64%
Crotone 35.01%
Draw 26.35%
| Cittadella | Draw | Crotone |
| 1-0 @ 9.93% 2-1 @ 8.4% 2-0 @ 6.65% 3-1 @ 3.75% 3-0 @ 2.97% 3-2 @ 2.37% 4-1 @ 1.26% 4-0 @ 1% Other @ 2.32% Total : 38.64% | 1-1 @ 12.53% 0-0 @ 7.41% 2-2 @ 5.3% 3-3 @ 1% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.35% | 0-1 @ 9.35% 1-2 @ 7.91% 0-2 @ 5.9% 1-3 @ 3.33% 0-3 @ 2.48% 2-3 @ 2.23% 1-4 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.74% Total : 35.01% |


