Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benevento win with a probability of 47.25%. A win for Cremonese had a probability of 28.11% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benevento win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.39%) and 2-0 (7.9%). The likeliest Cremonese win was 0-1 (7.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.
