Ascoli
3 - 2
Salernitana

Trotta (7', 49'), Ninkovic (16')
Morosini (51'), Trotta (71'), Troiano (88')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Kiyine (55' pen.), Djuric (86')
Lopez (76'), Gondo (90')

Coverage of the Serie B clash between Ascoli and Salernitana.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ascoli win with a probability of 39.53%. A win for Salernitana had a probability of 31.05% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ascoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.82%) and 2-1 (7.74%). The likeliest Salernitana win was 0-1 (11.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ascoli would win this match.

Result
Ascoli	Draw	Salernitana
39.53%	29.42%	31.05%

Both teams to score 43.1%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

36.32%

63.68%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.04%

82.95%

Ascoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.57%

31.43%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.19%

67.81%

Salernitana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.85%

37.15%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.06%

73.93%

Score Analysis

Ascoli 39.53%

Salernitana 31.04%

Draw 29.41%

Ascoli	Draw	Salernitana
1-0 @ 13.51% 2-0 @ 7.82% 2-1 @ 7.74% 3-0 @ 3.02% 3-1 @ 2.99% 3-2 @ 1.48% Other @ 2.97% Total : 39.53%	1-1 @ 13.38% 0-0 @ 11.67% 2-2 @ 3.84% Other @ 0.53% Total : 29.41%	0-1 @ 11.56% 1-2 @ 6.63% 0-2 @ 5.72% 1-3 @ 2.19% 0-3 @ 1.89% 2-3 @ 1.27% Other @ 1.79% Total : 31.04%