Ponferradina

1 - 4

Espanyol

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Espanyol win with a probability of 55.58%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Ponferradina had a probability of 18.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Espanyol win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.93%) and 1-2 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.78%), while for a Ponferradina win it was 1-0 (7.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Espanyol would win this match.