Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 45.59%. A win for UD Ibiza had a probability of 27.34% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.84%) and 2-0 (8.76%). The likeliest UD Ibiza win was 0-1 (9.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Girona would win this match.

Result
Girona	Draw	UD Ibiza
45.59%	27.06%	27.34%

Both teams to score 47.69%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.95%

57.05%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.06%

77.93%

Girona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.03%

24.96%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.39%

59.61%

UD Ibiza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.55%

36.44%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.77%

73.23%

Score Analysis

Girona 45.58%

UD Ibiza 27.34%

Draw 27.06%

Girona	Draw	UD Ibiza
1-0 @ 12.62% 2-1 @ 8.84% 2-0 @ 8.76% 3-1 @ 4.09% 3-0 @ 4.05% 3-2 @ 2.06% 4-1 @ 1.42% 4-0 @ 1.41% Other @ 2.33% Total : 45.58%	1-1 @ 12.74% 0-0 @ 9.1% 2-2 @ 4.46% Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.06%	0-1 @ 9.18% 1-2 @ 6.43% 0-2 @ 4.64% 1-3 @ 2.16% 0-3 @ 1.56% 2-3 @ 1.5% Other @ 1.87% Total : 27.34%