Scottish League Two Playoffs Gameweek 5
Aug 18, 2026 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 3 1
FT
  • Lewis Morrison 32' goal
  • Lewis Morrison 43' goal
  • Ryan Wilson 45'+4' goal
  • goal Barry Duncan 22'

Kilwinning Rangers vs Albion Rovers - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Kilwinning Rangers

All competitions
Scottish League Two Playoffs
Last game
Aug 8, 2026 3.00pm
Gretna 2008 1 - 5 Kilwinning Rangers

Albion Rovers

All competitions
Scottish League Two Playoffs
Last game
Aug 15, 2026 3.00pm
Albion Rovers 2 - 0 Edusport Academy

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Albion Rovers win with a probability of 39.85%. A win for Kilwinning Rangers had a probability of 37.77% and a draw had a probability of 22.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Albion Rovers win was 1-2 with a probability of 7.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.33%) and 0-2 (4.69%). The likeliest Kilwinning Rangers win was 2-1 (7.44%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.

Result

Kilwinning Rangers 37.77% ▲ (+0.25)
Draw 22.38% ▲ (+0.06)
Albion Rovers 39.85% ▼ (-0.30)

Both Teams to Score: 

65.44% ▼ (-0.05)

Goals

Over 1.5 86.03% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 1.5 13.97% ▲ (+0.09)
Over 2.5 68% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 2.5 31.95% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 3.5 46.93% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 3.5 53.07% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 4.5 31.14% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 4.5 68.86% ▲ (+0.07)

First Half Winner

Kilwinning Rangers 26.07%
Draw 45.74%
Albion Rovers 28.18%

Team To Score First

Kilwinning Rangers 48.23% ▼ (-0.02)
No Goal 3.75% ▲ (+0.03)
Albion Rovers 48.02% ▼ (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 47.88%
Equal 8 11.56%
Under 8 40.56%
Over 9 36.97%
Equal 9 10.91%
Under 9 52.12%
Over 10.5 27.46%
Under 10.5 72.54%

Kilwinning Rangers Goals

Over 1.5 46.31% ▲ (+0.18)
Under 1.5 53.69% ▼ (-0.18)
Over 2.5 23.96% ▲ (+0.14)
Under 2.5 76.04% ▼ (-0.13)
Over 3.5 10.88% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 3.5 89.12% ▼ (-0.08)

Albion Rovers Goals

Over 0.5 73.81% ▼ (-0.22)
Under 0.5 26.19% ▲ (+0.23)
Over 1.5 47.6% ▼ (-0.29)
Under 1.5 52.4% ▲ (+0.29)
Over 2.5 25.08% ▼ (-0.24)
Under 2.5 74.92% ▲ (+0.24)
Over 3.5 11.28% ▼ (-0.14)
Under 3.5 88.72% ▲ (+0.13)

Score analysis

Kilwinning Rangers 37.76%
Draw 22.37%
Albion Rovers 39.85%
Kilwinning Rangers
2-1 @ 7.44% ▲ (+0.03)
1-0 @ 4.87% ▲ (+0.05)
3-1 @ 4.44% ▲ (+0.04)
2-0 @ 4.35% ▲ (+0.05)
3-2 @ 3.46% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 2.89% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 10.31% ▲ (+0.09)
Total : 37.76%
Draw
1-1 @ 9% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 6.76%
0-0 @ 3.75% ▲ (+0.03)
3-3 @ 2.29%
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 22.37%
Albion Rovers
1-2 @ 7.61% ▼ (-0.05)
0-1 @ 5.33%
0-2 @ 4.69% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 4.58% ▼ (-0.05)
2-3 @ 3.8% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 3.13% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 10.71% ▼ (-0.13)
Total : 39.85%