Scottish League Two Playoffs
Aug 1, 2026 3.00pm
4
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Viviani D. 52' goal
  • Frew C. 57' goal
  • Callum Gow 82' goal
  • Jamieson S. 87' goal
  • goal Iain Anderson 29'

Troon vs Gretna 2008 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Troon

All competitions
Scottish League Two Playoffs
Last game
Jul 29, 2026 7.45pm
Johnstone Burgh 2 - 0 Troon

Gretna 2008

All competitions
Scottish League Two Playoffs
Last game
Jul 29, 2026 7.45pm
Gretna 2008 3 - 0 Newton Stewart

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Troon win with a probability of 39.53%. A win for Gretna 2008 had a probability of 38.83% and a draw had a probability of 21.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Troon win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.87%) and 2-0 (5.25%). The likeliest Gretna 2008 win was 1-2 (7.76%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.33%).

Result

Troon 39.53% (-0.02)
Draw 21.64% (+0.02)
Gretna 2008 38.83% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

61.88% (-0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 84.13% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 15.87% (+0.09)
Over 2.5 64.55% (-0.18)
Under 2.5 35.45% (+0.23)
Over 3.5 42.99% (-0.23)
Under 3.5 57.01% (+0.23)
Over 4.5 27.72% (-0.18)
Under 4.5 72.28% (+0.18)

First Half Winner

Troon 30.78% (+0.05)
Draw 42.68% (+0.04)
Gretna 2008 26.54% (-0.08)

Team To Score First

Troon 47.04% (+0.04)
No Goal 4.02% (+0.03)
Gretna 2008 48.94% (-0.07)

Corners

Over 8 44.58% (+0.08)
Equal 8 11.63% (+0.02)
Under 8 43.8% (-0.08)
Over 9 33.89% (+0.07)
Equal 9 10.69% (+0.01)
Under 9 55.42% (-0.08)
Over 10.5 24.81% (+0.04)
Under 10.5 75.19% (-0.05)

Troon Goals

Over 1.5 45.59% (-0.12)
Under 1.5 54.41% (+0.12)
Over 2.5 22.67% (-0.11)
Under 2.5 77.33% (+0.11)
Over 3.5 9.94% (-0.08)
Under 3.5 90.06% (+0.08)

Gretna 2008 Goals

Over 0.5 72.27% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 27.73% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 44.55% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 55.45% (+0.11)
Over 2.5 22.15% (-0.11)
Under 2.5 77.85% (+0.10)
Over 3.5 9.5% (-0.07)
Under 3.5 90.5% (+0.07)

Score analysis

Troon 39.53%
Draw 21.64%
Gretna 2008 38.83%
Troon
2-1 @ 7.79% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 5.87% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 5.25% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 4.62% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.41% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 3.06% (+0.02)
Other @ 9.53% (-0.06)
Total : 39.53%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.33% (+0.05)
2-2 @ 6.24% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 4.02% (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.64% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.41% (-0.03)
Total : 21.64%
Gretna 2008
1-2 @ 7.76% (+0.02)
0-1 @ 5.98% (+0.04)
0-2 @ 4.99% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 4.42% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 3.64% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 2.95% (+0.03)
Other @ 9.09% (-0.05)
Total : 38.83%