Scottish League Two Playoffs Gameweek 3
Aug 1, 2026 3.00pm

Troon vs Gretna 2008 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Troon

All competitions
Scottish League Two Playoffs
Last game
Jul 29, 2026 7.45pm
Johnstone Burgh 2 - 0 Troon

Gretna 2008

All competitions
Scottish League Two Playoffs
Last game
Jul 29, 2026 7.45pm
Gretna 2008 3 - 0 Newton Stewart

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Troon win with a probability of 39.55%. A win for Gretna 2008 has a probability of 38.82% and a draw has a probability of 21.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Troon win is 2-1 with a probability of 7.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (5.85%) and 2-0 (5.23%). The likeliest Gretna 2008 win is 1-2 (7.74%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.29%).

Result

Troon 39.55% (+0.02)
Draw 21.63% (-0.02)
Gretna 2008 38.82% (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

61.99% (+0.09)

Goals

Over 1.5 84.21% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 15.79% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 64.72% (+0.11)
Under 2.5 35.23% (-0.17)
Over 3.5 43.22% (+0.19)
Under 3.5 56.78% (-0.19)
Over 4.5 27.89% (+0.17)
Under 4.5 72.11% (-0.16)

First Half Winner

Troon 30.74% (-0.07)
Draw 42.65% (-0.08)
Gretna 2008 26.61% (+0.13)

Team To Score First

Troon 47.01% (-0.03)
No Goal 3.99% (-0.02)
Gretna 2008 49% (+0.04)

Corners

Over 8 44.51% (+0.02)
Equal 8 11.62%
Under 8 43.87% (-0.03)
Over 9 33.83% (+0.02)
Equal 9 10.68%
Under 9 55.49% (-0.02)
Over 10.5 24.77% (+0.02)
Under 10.5 75.23% (-0.02)

Troon Goals

Over 1.5 45.71% (+0.12)
Under 1.5 54.29% (-0.12)
Over 2.5 22.78% (+0.09)
Under 2.5 77.22% (-0.10)
Over 3.5 10.01% (+0.07)
Under 3.5 89.99% (-0.07)

Gretna 2008 Goals

Over 0.5 72.3% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 27.7% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 44.65% (+0.11)
Under 1.5 55.35% (-0.11)
Over 2.5 22.25% (+0.11)
Under 2.5 77.75% (-0.10)
Over 3.5 9.56% (+0.06)
Under 3.5 90.44% (-0.05)

Score analysis

Troon 39.55%
Draw 21.63%
Gretna 2008 38.82%
Troon
2-1 @ 7.78% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 5.85%
2-0 @ 5.23% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.63% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.43% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 3.05% (-0.03)
Other @ 9.58% (+0.05)
Total : 39.55%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.29% (-0.05)
2-2 @ 6.26% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 3.99% (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.66% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.43% (+0.03)
Total : 21.63%
Gretna 2008
1-2 @ 7.74% (-0.03)
0-1 @ 5.95% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 4.97% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 4.44% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 3.66% (+0.04)
0-3 @ 2.93% (-0.03)
Other @ 9.13% (+0.04)
Total : 38.82%