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Scottish League Cup | Group Stage
Jul 24, 2021 at 3pm UK
Tony Macaroni Arena
Cowdenbeath

Livingston
3 - 1
Cowdenbeath

Todd (21' og.), Anderson (38'), Sibbald (53')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Buchanan (9')
Buchanan (58')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 68.22%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Cowdenbeath had a probability of 12.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.91%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.3%), while for a Cowdenbeath win it was 0-1 (4.56%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Livingston would win this match.

Result
LivingstonDrawCowdenbeath
68.22%19.66%12.12%
Both teams to score 44.66%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.08%47.92%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.9%70.09%
Livingston Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.98%13.01%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.45%39.55%
Cowdenbeath Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.34%48.66%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.29%83.71%
Score Analysis
    Livingston 68.21%
    Cowdenbeath 12.12%
    Draw 19.66%
LivingstonDrawCowdenbeath
2-0 @ 13.16%
1-0 @ 12.91%
2-1 @ 9.48%
3-0 @ 8.95%
3-1 @ 6.45%
4-0 @ 4.56%
4-1 @ 3.29%
3-2 @ 2.32%
5-0 @ 1.86%
5-1 @ 1.34%
4-2 @ 1.18%
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 68.21%
1-1 @ 9.3%
0-0 @ 6.33%
2-2 @ 3.42%
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 19.66%
0-1 @ 4.56%
1-2 @ 3.35%
0-2 @ 1.64%
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 12.12%