Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 71.95%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Peterhead had a probability of 10.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.84%) and 3-0 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.23%), while for a Peterhead win it was 0-1 (3.59%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Falkirk would win this match.