Scottish Cup | Fourth Round

Jan 24, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Borough Briggs

Elgin
2 - 1
Drumchapel Utd

Lawrence (22'), Hester (64')

FT(HT: 1-1)

McLaren (18')

Coverage of the Scottish Cup Fourth Round clash between Elgin City and Drumchapel United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Elgin City

All competitions

Last Game: Elgin 1-1 Annan
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in Scottish League Two

Goals
for

Drumchapel United

	Team	Goals scored	Avg per game	Top scorer
1	Stirling	39	2.17	Carrick
2	Elgin	35	1.75	Hester
3	Annan	34	1.62	Goss
4	Stenhousemuir	33	1.65	Yates
5	Dumbarton	32	1.68	Byrne
6	Stranraer	31	1.48	Hilton
7	East Fife	30	1.43	Trouten
8	Albion Rovers	26	1.30	Reilly
9	Bonnyrigg Rose	23	1.15	Martyniuk
10	Forfar	22	1.10	Armour

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elgin City win with a probability of 52.51%. A win for Drumchapel United had a probability of 24.34% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Elgin City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.4%) and 2-0 (8.45%). The likeliest Drumchapel United win was 1-2 (6.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Elgin City in this match.

Result
Elgin City	Draw	Drumchapel United
52.51% ( 0.64)	23.15% ( 0.15)	24.34% ( -0.79)

Both teams to score 57.11% (

-1.4)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.61% (

-1.45)

43.39% (

1.46)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.21% (

-1.45)

65.79% (

1.45)

Elgin City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.46% (

-0.3)

16.54% (

0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.7% (

-0.54)

46.3% (

0.55)

Drumchapel United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.43% (

-1.42)

31.57% (

1.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.03% (

-1.68)

67.97% (

1.68)

Score Analysis

Elgin City 52.51%

Drumchapel United 24.34%

Draw 23.15%

Elgin City	Draw	Drumchapel United
2-1 @ 9.75% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 9.4% ( 0.5) 2-0 @ 8.45% ( 0.37) 3-1 @ 5.85% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 5.07% ( 0.17) 3-2 @ 3.37% ( -0.15) 4-1 @ 2.63% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 2.28% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 1.52% ( -0.09) 5-1 @ 0.95% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.25% Total : 52.51%	1-1 @ 10.83% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 5.62% ( -0.2) 0-0 @ 5.22% ( 0.33) 3-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.15%	1-2 @ 6.25% ( -0.15) 0-1 @ 6.02% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 3.47% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 2.4% ( -0.16) 2-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.17) 0-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.71% Total : 24.34%