Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cove Rangers win with a probability of 38.83%. A win for Queen of the South had a probability of 34.69% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cove Rangers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.4%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest Queen of the South win was 0-1 (9.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cove Rangers would win this match.

Result
Cove Rangers	Draw	Queen of the South
38.83% ( -0.63)	26.48% ( 0.11)	34.69% ( 0.52)

Both teams to score 52.46% (

-0.29)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.65% (

-0.4)

52.35% (

0.4)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.96% (

-0.35)

74.04% (

0.35)

Cove Rangers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.65% (

-0.53)

26.34% (

0.53)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.51% (

-0.72)

61.48% (

0.72)

Queen of the South Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.23% (

0.13)

28.77% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.39% (

0.16)

64.61% (

-0.16)

Score Analysis

Cove Rangers 38.82%

Queen of the South 34.69%

Draw 26.47%

Cove Rangers	Draw	Queen of the South
1-0 @ 10.1% 2-1 @ 8.4% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 6.74% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 3.74% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 3% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 2.33% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.25% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 1% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.27% Total : 38.82%	1-1 @ 12.59% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 7.58% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 5.23% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.47%	0-1 @ 9.44% ( 0.18) 1-2 @ 7.85% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 5.88% ( 0.14) 1-3 @ 3.26% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 2.44% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 2.17% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.02% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.63% Total : 34.69%