Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Khimki win with a probability of 37.93%. A win for Rostov had a probability of 35.49% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Khimki win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.28%) and 2-0 (6.58%). The likeliest Rostov win was 0-1 (9.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Khimki in this match.
