Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Khimki win with a probability of 71.19%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for FC Tambov had a probability of 9.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Khimki win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.32%) and 3-0 (10.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.75%), while for a FC Tambov win it was 0-1 (4.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Khimki would win this match.