Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Krasnodar win with a probability of 58.11%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for FC Ufa had a probability of 19.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Krasnodar win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.24%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.69%), while for a FC Ufa win it was 0-1 (5.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.