Russian Premier League | Gameweek 28
May 3, 2021 at 2.30pm UK
Arsenal Stadium

Arsenal Tula
1 - 2
Spartak Moscow

Kutepov (45' og.)
Dordevic (38'), Causic (40'), Kavalyow (59'), Tkachev (90')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Sobolev (21'), Larsson (77')
Sobolev (29')
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Arsenal Tula and Spartak Moscow.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartak Moscow win with a probability of 44.72%. A win for Arsenal Tula had a probability of 31.24% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spartak Moscow win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.3%) and 0-2 (6.84%). The likeliest Arsenal Tula win was 2-1 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Spartak Moscow in this match.

Result
Arsenal TulaDrawSpartak Moscow
31.24%24.05%44.72%
Both teams to score 59.61%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.41%42.59%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.01%64.99%
Arsenal Tula Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.83%26.17%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.74%61.26%
Spartak Moscow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.75%19.25%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.03%50.97%
Score Analysis
    Arsenal Tula 31.24%
    Spartak Moscow 44.72%
    Draw 24.04%
Arsenal TulaDrawSpartak Moscow
2-1 @ 7.46%
1-0 @ 6.75%
2-0 @ 4.53%
3-1 @ 3.33%
3-2 @ 2.75%
3-0 @ 2.02%
4-1 @ 1.12%
4-2 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 31.24%
1-1 @ 11.12%
2-2 @ 6.14%
0-0 @ 5.04%
3-3 @ 1.51%
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.04%
1-2 @ 9.17%
0-1 @ 8.3%
0-2 @ 6.84%
1-3 @ 5.04%
0-3 @ 3.76%
2-3 @ 3.37%
1-4 @ 2.07%
0-4 @ 1.55%
2-4 @ 1.39%
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 44.72%

rhs 2.0


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