Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSKA Moscow win with a probability of 46.07%. A win for Akhmat Grozny had a probability of 27.9% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a CSKA Moscow win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.12%) and 0-2 (8.39%). The likeliest Akhmat Grozny win was 1-0 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CSKA Moscow would win this match.