Akhmat Grozny

2 - 1

Arsenal Tula

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Akhmat Grozny win with a probability of 51.54%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Arsenal Tula had a probability of 21.97%.

The most likely scoreline for an Akhmat Grozny win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.52%) and 2-1 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.29%), while for an Arsenal Tula win it was 0-1 (8.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Akhmat Grozny would win this match.