Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Akhmat Grozny and Arsenal Tula.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Akhmat Grozny win with a probability of 51.54%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Arsenal Tula had a probability of 21.97%.
The most likely scoreline for an Akhmat Grozny win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.52%) and 2-1 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.29%), while for an Arsenal Tula win it was 0-1 (8.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Akhmat Grozny would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Akhmat Grozny | Draw | Arsenal Tula |
| 51.54% | 26.48% | 21.97% |
| Both teams to score 44.44% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.24% | 58.76% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.72% | 79.28% |
| Akhmat Grozny Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.06% | 22.94% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.28% | 56.72% |
| Arsenal Tula Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.68% | 42.32% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.28% | 78.72% |
| Score Analysis |
Akhmat Grozny 51.54%
Arsenal Tula 21.97%
Draw 26.48%
| Akhmat Grozny | Draw | Arsenal Tula |
| 1-0 @ 14.29% 2-0 @ 10.52% 2-1 @ 9.05% 3-0 @ 5.16% 3-1 @ 4.44% 3-2 @ 1.91% 4-0 @ 1.9% 4-1 @ 1.63% Other @ 2.63% Total : 51.54% | 1-1 @ 12.29% 0-0 @ 9.71% 2-2 @ 3.89% Other @ 0.59% Total : 26.48% | 0-1 @ 8.35% 1-2 @ 5.28% 0-2 @ 3.59% 1-3 @ 1.51% 2-3 @ 1.12% 0-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 1.09% Total : 21.97% |


