Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Otelul win with a probability of 39.06%. A win for UTA Arad had a probability of 32.56% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Otelul win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.01%) and 0-2 (7.42%). The likeliest UTA Arad win was 1-0 (10.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Otelul would win this match.