Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SSC Farul win with a probability of 39.1%. A win for Petrolul 52 had a probability of 32.39% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a SSC Farul win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.97%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Petrolul 52 win was 0-1 (11.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SSC Farul would win this match.