Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SSC Farul win with a probability of 59.75%. A draw had a probability of 23.17% and a win for Metaloglobus had a probability of 17.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a SSC Farul win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.41%) and 2-0 (10.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.93%) , while for a Metaloglobus win it was 1-2 (5.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.