Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rapid Bucuresti win with a probability of 47.93%. A win for CSM Iasi had a probability of 26.91% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rapid Bucuresti win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 2-0 (8.45%). The likeliest CSM Iasi win was 0-1 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rapid Bucuresti would win this match.